PSAM 16 Conference Paper Overview
Welcome to the PSAM 16 Conference paper and speaker overview page.
Lead Author: Ali Ayoub Co-author(s): Haruko M Wainwright, hmwainw@mit.edu
Giovanni Sansavini, sansavig@ethz.ch
| Closing the Planning-to-Implementation Gap in Nuclear Emergency Response: Lessons Learned and Methodological Advances |
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| Post-accident mitigation and consequence analysis have been subjects of extensive research in the nuclear industry. Strict regulatory guidelines and radiation monitoring networks are usually in place to support the prompt implementation of protective actions (evacuation, sheltering, etc.) in case of emergency. Most of the emergency actions and Emergency Planning Zones (EPZ) are pre-planned based on presumptions, coupling accident scenarios with potential offsite radiological consequences (Probabilistic Risk Assessment and atmospheric transport and dispersion models). However, the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident has exposed the challenges in nuclear emergency responses, since the existing plans had to be adapted several times, and monitoring data as well as dispersion codes could not be used as planned, hence aggravating the situation. In this paper, we present a comprehensive review of existing international emergency response plans and guidelines. In addition, we investigate a list of well-documented atmospheric transport and dispersion codes that are typically used for emergency planning and guidance. We then present a retrospective analysis of the Fukushima disaster, debunking the decision delays, plan changes, and the failure in utilizing existing predictive models and monitoring networks. Finally, we present new strategies to help close the identified discrepancy between the plans and their practical implementation, based on lessons learned as well as recent advances in sensors and computational methods (real-time dispersion forecasts, emulators, and model-data integration). |
Paper AL271 Preview
Author and Presentation Info
Lead Author Name: Ali Ayoub (aliayoub@mit.edu)
Bio: Currently a postdoctoral researcher at the Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering at MIT. I hold a PhD in Nuclear Engineering from the ETH Zürich. Research interest: risk analysis, nuclear safety, uncertainty quantification, probabilistic risk assessment, radioactive atmospheric transport and dispersion, prediction, resilience engineering, and risk communication.
Country: United States of America
Company: MIT
Job Title: Postdoctoral Associate
Bio: Currently a postdoctoral researcher at the Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering at MIT. I hold a PhD in Nuclear Engineering from the ETH Zürich. Research interest: risk analysis, nuclear safety, uncertainty quantification, probabilistic risk assessment, radioactive atmospheric transport and dispersion, prediction, resilience engineering, and risk communication.
Country: United States of America
Company: MIT
Job Title: Postdoctoral Associate